锰硅强势涨停,黑色均触低反弹,晚盘建议12/08

作者: 发布时间:2017-12-09 17:19:38  来源: [手机访问]
导读: 文章原创:弘业期货 丁莞丽1.螺纹1805.螺纹1805合约复盘: 今日震荡收阳,涨幅1.75%,下午盘突破前三交易日下行格局,突破3850压力涨至3900一线,资金流出2.19亿

文章原创:弘业期货 丁莞丽

1.螺纹1805

锰硅强势涨停,黑色均触低反弹,晚盘建议12/08

.

螺纹1805合约复盘:

今日震荡收阳,涨幅1.75%,下午盘突破前三交易日下行格局,突破3850压力涨至3900一线,资金流出2.19亿元,成交量减仓127.9万手,持仓量减11万手,空单开始观望减少了成交,空方开始主动抛盘推升价格。今日期价的反弹而持仓量未增加,且现货抛盘较多,短期多头应谨慎操作,短线为佳,后市持仓量若增加则显示多头再次入场,短期关注支撑3700,短期压力4000元/吨。

螺纹05合约具体持仓量方面:

前二十名持仓中,多头大单减持4.6万;空头减持2.2万,永安方面今日有抛空锁多迹象,空头持仓量未完全释放大于,多头或会进一步加仓锁住利润,可参考,短线回调可多单。

螺纹05合约晚盘操作:

短线或偏于震荡操作。空仓者:晚盘若平开,反弹3930附近尝试做空,3960破位止损;稳健者可在3830附近挂多操作。

2.螺纹1801

锰硅强势涨停,黑色均触低反弹,晚盘建议12/08

.

螺纹1801合约复盘:

日内反弹2.73%,盘中围绕4180均价震荡,上午尾盘多头放量增仓,期价触及4300一线,成交量减仓20万,价格反弹过程中,持仓量未有增仓缺递减4万,新多仍是比较谨慎的, 现货价格高位去库存后,也相基本维稳,多头短线为佳,后市持仓量若增加多头可加仓跟进,短期关注支撑4180,短期压力4350元/吨。操作上震荡操作为主!

螺纹01合约具体持仓量方面:

前二十名会员,多空均延续本周减持行为,多头减持1.4万,空头减持1.3万,机构趋向震荡锁仓投机。散户尽量操作05合约。

螺纹01合约晚盘操作:

短期少量操作空单,震荡为主,晚盘平开可回调4250福建做多,反向30点锁仓。

3.热卷1805

锰硅强势涨停,黑色均触低反弹,晚盘建议12/08

.

热卷1805合约复盘:

同螺纹05合约,涨2.37%,成交量减20万手,倾向于观望,主动买盘增多;持仓量在涨破3850均价后快速下滑,共减持4万手,表明空方开始主动抛盘,抄多小幅推升价格;同螺纹,价格反弹途中持仓量未增,多头相对谨慎,短线为佳,后市持仓量若增加多头可加仓跟进,短期关注支撑3870,短期压力4000元/吨。

热卷05合约具体持仓量方面:

前二十名会员中,主要会员空头持仓量还是远超多头,今日多头量减持1.2万;空头整体无变化,空头持仓未完全释放,后市进一步回调,看多者短线为佳。

热卷05合约晚盘操作:

短线震荡操作,高空为主操作。反弹3950附近尝试做空,4000破位加仓;稳健者可在3830附近挂多操作。

4.铁矿石1805

锰硅强势涨停,黑色均触低反弹,晚盘建议12/08

.

铁矿石1805合约复盘:

今日低位反弹,涨幅2.43%,成交量缩量减50万,探低490一线均价后主动性买盘大增。价格反弹过程中,持仓量略增0.7万,多空均有增仓,表明新多试探性的入场,空头也逢反弹加仓,领先于螺纹热卷的反弹预期,后市或仍有震荡上涨空间。短期可回调轻仓做多,第一压力515破位后可加仓,支撑480元/吨。

铁矿05合约具体持仓变化:

前二十名会员,空头增持1.8万,多头增持1.3万,多空争夺关键压力位置。

铁矿05合约晚盘操作:

短线维持震荡,回调多为主。支撑480,激进者500附近试多,目标515。稳健者可515上方挂空操作。

5.锰硅1801

锰硅强势涨停,黑色均触低反弹,晚盘建议12/08

.

锰硅1801合约:

锰硅1801再次迎来一个涨停板,下午开盘在极短时间内上涨约4.5%,今收盘价8590,均价8354,尾盘涨停(6.02%);

锰硅1801具体持仓变化:

弘业期货在昨日硅锰01合约大幅回落时坚持看多,昨日增持775手,今继续增仓3441手,目前排名多头榜第一!风向标作用显现。

锰硅现货市场:

主要品种受当地环保政策影响,硅锰现货报价截止周末已经攀上8000元/吨大关,甚至个别钢厂采价站上8200元/吨,北方宁夏产区对外零售报价在8500-9000元/吨,且惜售心态浓,港口锰矿价格同样上调,看涨心态浓;

期现价差:01合约与现货差价约1000,折算至报到价格,期货升水较大。

锰硅合约操作:

此品种无夜盘,应逢低多为主。

【文中的观点和建议仅供参考,客户应审慎考量本身需求。对使用本文产生的任何直接或间接损失概不负责。】

文章原创:弘业期货丁莞丽

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